★ Tournament Simulator
Play out the groups + the full knockout bracket — or run 1000 simulations for every team's title odds.
Just for fun. Results use a simple strength model (Elo win-probability + Poisson goals), not real predictions — the same seed always reproduces the same run, so you can share it.
Every team gets one strength rating (an Elo number from FIFA-ranking tiers). That's the only thing results are weighted by: each match turns the strength gap into a win chance, then rolls random goals around it. Stronger teams win more often — but upsets are baked in.
Each team gets a number — Argentina ~2090, Curaçao ~1560. Higher = stronger.
▸The gap becomes a win chance. +400 ≈ 91%, level ≈ 50%.
~2.6 goals shared by win chance, then each score is rolled at random. Favourites score more — usually.
▸Round-robin groups, top 2 + best-8 thirds, then the real knockout bracket to a champion.
The same seed always reproduces the same run, so you can share it. It does not use current form, injuries, real squads, home advantage, or past meetings — it's a fun strength model, not a real prediction.
Group Stage
Top 2 from each group advance, plus the 8 best 3rd-placed teams → Round of 32.
Knockout Bracket